Predict.fun $PREDICT Tokenomics: 7% Season 1 Airdrop and Claim Options

Predict.fun has moved beyond an unnamed-token rumour. Its October 28 announcement names PREDICT, sets a fixed supply and assigns 7% to the Season 1 airdrop. Existing participants now have a real allocation framework to follow. New users need a different starting point: Season 1's final snapshot has already happened, while Season 2 points are being earned. Neither group should confuse an allocation announcement with a live, tested token claim. There is also a recent security disclosure you should read before connecting or depositing.

Research date: October 29, 2026 (IST). The AirdropBuzz Team reviewed public project pages and official X announcements. We did not connect a wallet, trade, test a claim or verify a completed payout.

Security notice: In its October 27 disclosure, Predict.fun reported approximately 400,000 USDT in unauthorized transfers affecting some users. It said a third-party-hosted API documentation site may have been compromised and had been taken offline. The team promised reimbursement and a post-mortem; we have not verified that either is complete. This is not a finding that the whole project is fraudulent, nor evidence that every wallet was affected.

What is Predict.fun?

Predict.fun is a prediction market on BNB Chain where people trade positions on the outcomes of future events. Its markets cover areas such as sports, politics and crypto. Buying a position is not the same as earning a free token: an incorrect prediction can lose the amount committed to it.

The official About page describes integrations with UMA for resolution and Venus for yield on position collateral. It also displays YZi Labs and Susquehanna Crypto among its backers. These are project-published descriptions, not a security guarantee or an independently verified return. We did not independently verify the founders' legal identities.

PREDICT tokenomics: where the supply goes

The official October 28 token article sets out this allocation. The 7% Season 1 airdrop comes from the ecosystem and community share; it is not an extra allocation on top of the table.

The token counts above are arithmetic based on the announced supply, not verified on-chain balances. Predict.fun says 16% of supply unlocks at the token generation event (TGE). Early-backer and core-contributor tokens are locked at TGE, followed by a 24-month cliff and monthly vesting over the next 36 months. The full schedule spans five years.

Season 1 airdrop: 35% now or a 12-month vest?

Eligible participants will have two choices on claim day. The percentage here applies to your eligible allocation, not the total token supply.

For a hypothetical allocation of 1,000 PREDICT, the instant option is 350 tokens; the vesting option covers 1,000 over its stated terms. That is a token-count illustration, not a dollar-value estimate. Neither option guarantees a better financial outcome.

The official article allows users who first choose vesting to switch to instant claiming within one month of TGE. Separately, it says eligible users have one month from the opening of claims to select an option, after which unclaimed tokens are forfeited. Those are different reference points. Without a verified claim-opening timestamp, we cannot give an exact UTC or IST closing date.

The article also says a different receiving wallet can be designated when the final points results and claim-date announcement arrive. We have not tested that process. Do not follow wallet-change instructions from unsolicited messages.

Season 2: what new users can do now

Predict.fun's October 27 Season 2 post confirms that the Season 1 snapshot is complete and Season 2 PP earning has started. For liquidity providers, each market's hourly PP allocation now considers both resting-order duration and filled orders. Periods without fills, or with only low-value fills, receive no filled-order PP.

This does not say that every order earns a fixed number of points. It also does not establish a Season 2 token pool, a PP-to-PREDICT conversion rate or a guaranteed payout. The public points page describes eligible activity including trading, meaningful liquidity and holding positions. Read the current account-level rules rather than copying a volume-farming strategy.

Dates: a token sale is not an airdrop claim

A separate official announcement schedules a Binance Wallet Pre-TGE Prime Sale for October 29, 2026, 08:00-10:00 UTC (1:30-3:30 PM IST). This is a sale window, not the Season 1 airdrop claim window or proof of a live TGE. Check the current official event terms before considering it. Buying into a sale is not required by the airdrop evidence reviewed here.

Potential Score: 61/100

The confirmed allocation announcement, working product and clearer seasonal rules support the opportunity. The recent wallet-loss disclosure, unresolved investigation, trading exposure and unverified claim-opening date keep it in our research-first band. This is an editorial rating, not a security certification or 61% payout probability.

The weights follow the existing AirdropBuzz methodology. Component ratings are editorial judgments based on the cited evidence, not measured test results. Reassess after a verified post-mortem, reimbursement evidence and final claim instructions.

Participation research: how to check your next step

Time vs reward: is continuing worthwhile?

Reading your points balance and the latest announcements takes no trading capital. Earning more PP can require ongoing attention, funded positions, fees, spreads and exposure to losing outcomes. We have not measured onboarding or claim time, so there is no tested minutes-to-reward figure here.

For existing Season 1 users, checking final eligibility and comparing claim terms is more useful than trading to chase a snapshot that has passed. For newcomers, evaluate Season 2 as a risky product you may choose not to use, not a free-money task list.

Risks and things to watch

• Security follow-up: A reimbursement promise is not a verified reimbursement. A suspected documentation compromise is a preliminary explanation, not a completed root-cause finding.
• Capital loss: Prediction-market positions can lose the full amount committed. Points may not compensate for losses, fees or spreads.
• Claim uncertainty: Exact opening time, eligibility thresholds, gas and the final token contract were not verified in this research.
• Vesting exposure: More tokens after a delay do not guarantee more value. Do not infer release cadence or transferability beyond final official terms.
• Phishing: Never provide recovery phrases or private keys to claim pages, support accounts or automated trading tools.
• Geographic eligibility: Availability does not establish that you can legally use the service. Follow current platform restrictions and local requirements.

Use our wallet eligibility-checker guide and airdrop safety checklist before interacting. If you want genuinely no-investment tasks instead, read the free-airdrops guide.

Sources and verification

Primary sources checked: the October 28 token article, October 27 Season 2 announcement, October 27 security disclosure, separate Prime Sale announcement, About page and points page. X posts were inspected in the signed-in browser because automated web access was blocked.

No claim transaction, token contract, completed reimbursement, final incident report or personal reward amount was verified. This is educational research, not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. DYOR and verify new announcements before acting.

Predict.fun airdrop FAQ

How much PREDICT is allocated to the Season 1 airdrop?

The official October 28 announcement allocates 70 million PREDICT, or 7% of the announced 1 billion supply, from the ecosystem and community share. That is a pool, not an individual entitlement.

What is the difference between instant claiming and vesting?

The announced instant option gives 35% of an eligible allocation. The 12-month vest covers 100%, subject to its terms. Check final release mechanics before choosing; a larger token count does not guarantee a better financial outcome.

Can I still qualify for Season 1 by joining now?

The official October 27 post says the final Season 1 snapshot is complete and Season 2 PP earning has started. Do not assume that new activity counts toward Season 1.

When does the PREDICT claim end?

The announced selection window is one month from claim opening. An exact opening and closing timestamp was not verified in this guide. The October 29 Prime Sale is a separate event, not the airdrop claim.

Is Predict.fun a free airdrop with no financial risk?

No. Researching the programme is free, but trading and liquidity provision put capital at risk. The project also disclosed unauthorized wallet transfers on October 27 and promised an investigation report and reimbursement; completion was not verified here.